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ESL One Kuala Lumpur 2023 · BO2
result vs prediction
Blacklist Internationalloss 0:2
series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Secretwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Blacklist International

No games played over 6 months.

Team Secret

Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Crystallis · 16 games
50%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekeroften banned
Crystallis · 13 games
46%
Chen
Chenoften banned
Puppey · 13 games
38%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
BOOM · 13 games
69%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Armel · 13 games
31%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
yamich · 12 games
58%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
Fbz · 11 games
55%
Enchantress
Enchantress
Puppey · 11 games
45%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
272 picks · 398 bans
52%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
229 picks · 110 bans
54%
Muerta
Muerta
225 picks · 317 bans
51%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
215 picks · 453 bans
58%
Phoenix
Phoenix
214 picks · 306 bans
45%
Kunkka
Kunkka
194 picks · 503 bans
61%
Tusk
Tusk
192 picks · 156 bans
47%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
190 picks · 399 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 52%
Hero pool strength51% Blacklist International
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% Team Secret
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct19:10
Blacklist International 39%Team Secret 61%
The model gave 61% on Team Secret — the game was taken by Team Secret in 30:23.
Game 2prediction correct17:35
Blacklist International 39%Team Secret 61%
The model gave 61% on Team Secret — the game was taken by Team Secret in 40:15.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Secret · 61%
Series resultTeam Secret 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2