The International 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Blacklist Internationalloss 0:2series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 0:2
TNC Predatorwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Blacklist International
No games played over 6 months.
TNC Predator
Crystal Maidensignature
Mjz · 19 games
Faceless Voidsignature
Palos · 18 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Gabbi · 17 games
Pangolieroften banned
Abed · 17 games
Marsoften banned
Gabbi · 16 games
Primal Beastoften banned
Abed · 16 games
Disruptorsignature
Mjz · 13 games
Dragon Knightsignature
Gabbi · 13 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
452 picks · 679 bans
Crystal Maiden
410 picks · 193 bans
Centaur Warrunner
399 picks · 535 bans
Gyrocopter
397 picks · 421 bans
Batrider
348 picks · 566 bans
Rubick
343 picks · 170 bans
Pangolier
338 picks · 641 bans
Dragon Knight
329 picks · 834 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 69%
Hero pool strength57% TNC Predator
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total59% Blacklist International
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed26:13
Blacklist International 59%TNC Predator 41%
The model gave 59% on Blacklist International — the game was taken by TNC Predator in 45:48.
Game 2prediction missed15:30
Blacklist International 59%TNC Predator 41%
The model gave 59% on Blacklist International — the game was taken by TNC Predator in 56:36.
Model check result
Model favoriteBlacklist International · 59%
Series resultTNC Predator 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2