DreamLeague Season 24. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Blade breakersloss 0:1series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Uunknownwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Blade breakers
No games played over 6 months.
unknown
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
349 picks · 259 bans
Rubick
348 picks · 330 bans
Hoodwink
339 picks · 395 bans
Pangolier
326 picks · 489 bans
Snapfire
305 picks · 266 bans
Sven
290 picks · 303 bans
Dragon Knight
285 picks · 453 bans
Windranger
285 picks · 393 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% Blade breakers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Blade breakers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Blade breakers 56%unknown 44%
The model gave 56% on Blade breakers — the game was taken by unknown.
Model check result
Model favoriteBlade breakers · 56%
Series resultunknown 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1