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UNIVERSE by FISSURE. Закрытая квалификация · BO3
result vs prediction
BlasterbIwin 2:0
series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Nemiga Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BlasterbI

Kez
Kezoften banned
Munkushi~ · 2 games
50%
Rubick
Rubick
Hellscream · 2 games
0%
Underlord
Underlordoften banned
Corrupted · 2 games
50%
Witch Doctor
Witch Doctor
Panto · 2 games
50%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Corrupted · 1 game
0%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
Hellscream · 1 game
100%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Munkushi~ · 1 game
0%
Outworld Destroyer
Outworld Destroyeroften banned
Squad1x · 1 game
100%

Nemiga Gaming

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
ariel · 28 games
54%
Techies
Techies
ariel · 23 games
48%
Pangolier
Pangolier
Covisnine · 22 games
32%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
young G · 19 games
32%
Rubick
Rubick
ariel · 17 games
47%
Jakiro
Jakiro
VaniLLl · 16 games
38%
Puck
Puckoften banned
young G · 15 games
53%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
Covisnine · 13 games
46%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
534 picks · 318 bans
51%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
433 picks · 200 bans
51%
Mirana
Mirana
393 picks · 173 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
345 picks · 509 bans
57%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
332 picks · 306 bans
58%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
315 picks · 313 bans
54%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
306 picks · 514 bans
53%
Windranger
Windranger
286 picks · 151 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 31%
Hero pool strength51% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total66% BlasterbI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:9
BlasterbI 58%Nemiga Gaming 42%
The model gave 58% on BlasterbI — the game was taken by BlasterbI in 33:33.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
SvenMunkushi~
46% · 95 games48% · 156 games
Slardaryoung G
Slardar
Necrophos
NecrophosCorrupted
56% · 119 games48% · 87 games
Brewmastertakizawa
Brewmaster
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritSquad1x
54% · 181 game42% · 90 games
Lifestealer7jesu
Lifestealer
Dark Willow
Dark WillowHellscream
48% · 362 games52% · 458 games
Hoodwinkariel
Hoodwink
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernPanto
61% · 212 games44% · 178 games
BaneVaniLLl
Bane
Game 2prediction correct24:29
BlasterbI 59%Nemiga Gaming 41%
The model gave 59% on BlasterbI — the game was taken by BlasterbI in 46:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeMunkushi~
48% · 192 games44% · 436 games
Tiny7jesu
Tiny
Largo
LargoCorrupted
51% · 328 games61% · 90 games
Slarkyoung G
Slark
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritSquad1x
51% · 589 games52% · 239 games
Beastmastertakizawa
Beastmaster
Witch Doctor
Witch DoctorPanto
47% · 102 games51% · 230 games
MiranaVaniLLl
Mirana
Dark Willow
Dark WillowHellscream
47% · 393 games51% · 609 games
Hoodwinkariel
Hoodwink
Model check result
Model favoriteBlasterbI · 66%
Series resultBlasterbI 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2