The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
BLAZE TEAMloss 0:2series probability
27%73%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Kalmychatawin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BLAZE TEAM
Windranger
sunset · 2 games
Drow Rangeroften banned
Askold · 1 game
Shadow Shaman
sunset · 1 game
Storm Spiritoften banned
Askold · 1 game
Tinyoften banned
Askold · 1 game
Kalmychata
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
476 picks · 447 bans
Tiny
464 picks · 534 bans
Ringmaster
439 picks · 221 bans
Terrorblade
342 picks · 637 bans
Storm Spirit
303 picks · 443 bans
Ancient Apparition
294 picks · 648 bans
Tusk
285 picks · 218 bans
Windranger
279 picks · 84 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 40%
Hero pool strength51% Kalmychata
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total73% Kalmychata
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
BLAZE TEAM 27%Kalmychata 73%
The model gave 73% on Kalmychata — the game was taken by Kalmychata.
Game 2prediction correct
BLAZE TEAM 27%Kalmychata 73%
The model gave 73% on Kalmychata — the game was taken by Kalmychata.
Model check result
Model favoriteKalmychata · 73%
Series resultKalmychata 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2