The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
BLAZE TEAMloss 1:2series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Tengriwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BLAZE TEAM
No games played over 6 months.
Tengri
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
471 picks · 443 bans
Tiny
445 picks · 502 bans
Ringmaster
433 picks · 208 bans
Terrorblade
333 picks · 585 bans
Storm Spirit
292 picks · 406 bans
Ancient Apparition
287 picks · 617 bans
Tusk
277 picks · 190 bans
Windranger
264 picks · 76 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% BLAZE TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Tengri
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct22:35
BLAZE TEAM 49%Tengri 51%
The model gave 51% on Tengri — the game was taken by Tengri in 37:06.
Game 2prediction missed32:20
BLAZE TEAM 49%Tengri 51%
The model gave 51% on Tengri — the game was taken by BLAZE TEAM in 44:04.
Game 3prediction correct4:30
BLAZE TEAM 49%Tengri 51%
The model gave 51% on Tengri — the game was taken by Tengri in 20:49.
Model check result
Model favoriteTengri · 51%
Series resultTengri 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3