Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Южная Америка. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Block Roar Esportswin 2:0series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Not Foundloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Block Roar Esports
No games played over 6 months.
Not Found
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
728 picks · 460 bans
Tusk
523 picks · 459 bans
Tiny
521 picks · 386 bans
Treant Protector
521 picks · 562 bans
Nature's Prophet
401 picks · 569 bans
Snapfire
378 picks · 242 bans
Death Prophet
368 picks · 587 bans
Ember Spirit
343 picks · 729 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Block Roar Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% Block Roar Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct23:36
Block Roar Esports 58%Not Found 42%
The model gave 58% on Block Roar Esports — the game was taken by Block Roar Esports in 37:41.
Game 2prediction correct25:47
Block Roar Esports 58%Not Found 42%
The model gave 58% on Block Roar Esports — the game was taken by Block Roar Esports in 33:28.
Model check result
Model favoriteBlock Roar Esports · 58%
Series resultBlock Roar Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2