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ESL One Kuala Lumpur 2023. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
BocaJuniorsloss 0:2
series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Infinity Esportswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BocaJuniors

No games played over 6 months.

Infinity Esports

Rubick
Rubick
Kiri · 7 games
43%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
Prada · 7 games
57%
Underlord
Underlord
Frank · 6 games
50%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Frank · 5 games
20%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Leostyle · 5 games
40%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Frank · 5 games
40%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Mr.Jeans · 4 games
50%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightoften banned
Mnz · 3 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
223 picks · 272 bans
52%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
203 picks · 90 bans
51%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
202 picks · 232 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
185 picks · 399 bans
53%
Phoenix
Phoenix
174 picks · 232 bans
48%
Sven
Sven
170 picks · 250 bans
57%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
169 picks · 171 bans
59%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
166 picks · 377 bans
65%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 42%
Hero pool strength53% BocaJuniors
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% Infinity Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct27:11
BocaJuniors 35%Infinity Esports 65%
The model gave 65% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Infinity Esports in 38:39.
Game 2prediction correct41:28
BocaJuniors 35%Infinity Esports 65%
The model gave 65% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Infinity Esports in 1:09:33.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfinity Esports · 65%
Series resultInfinity Esports 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2