IESF World Esports Championship 2024 · BO3
result vs prediction
Болгарияloss 1:2series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Мьянмаwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Болгария
No games played over 6 months.
Мьянма
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
456 picks · 608 bans
Clockwerk
391 picks · 422 bans
Pangolier
337 picks · 473 bans
Luna
333 picks · 413 bans
Enchantress
313 picks · 602 bans
Dark Willow
306 picks · 166 bans
Dragon Knight
289 picks · 347 bans
Sand King
272 picks · 798 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Болгария
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Болгария
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Болгария 56%Мьянма 44%
The model gave 56% on Болгария — the game was taken by Мьянма.
Game 2prediction correct
Болгария 56%Мьянма 44%
The model gave 56% on Болгария — the game was taken by Болгария.
Game 3prediction missed
Болгария 56%Мьянма 44%
The model gave 56% on Болгария — the game was taken by Мьянма.
Model check result
Model favoriteБолгария · 56%
Series resultМьянма 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3