Esports Nations Cup 2026. Региональные отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Боливияloss 1:2series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Эквадорwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Боливия
No games played over 6 months.
Эквадор
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
627 picks · 445 bans
Rubick
591 picks · 335 bans
Pangolier
430 picks · 631 bans
Phoenix
417 picks · 476 bans
Tiny
400 picks · 359 bans
Storm Spirit
336 picks · 381 bans
Ember Spirit
332 picks · 494 bans
Puck
320 picks · 966 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 63%
Hero pool strength50% Боливия
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total51% Боливия
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Боливия 51%Эквадор 49%
The model gave 51% on Боливия — the game was taken by Боливия.
Game 2prediction missed
Боливия 51%Эквадор 49%
The model gave 51% on Боливия — the game was taken by Эквадор.
Game 3prediction missed
Боливия 51%Эквадор 49%
The model gave 51% on Боливия — the game was taken by Эквадор.
Model check result
Model favoriteБоливия · 51%
Series resultЭквадор 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3