Elite League Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
BOOM Esportswin 2:0series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 2:0
beastcoastloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BOOM Esports
Crystal Maidensignature
Panda · 30 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
Pakazs · 20 games
Morphlingoften banned
Pakazs · 20 games
Troll Warlordsignature
Pakazs · 20 games
Marsoften banned
DarkMago · 19 games
Pangolieroften banned
DarkMago · 18 games
Phoenixoften banned
Panda · 16 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Sacred · 15 games
beastcoast
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
403 picks · 418 bans
Tiny
401 picks · 895 bans
Rubick
398 picks · 301 bans
Weaver
390 picks · 803 bans
Pangolier
348 picks · 533 bans
Phoenix
345 picks · 694 bans
Clockwerk
341 picks · 478 bans
Gyrocopter
314 picks · 381 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 42%
Hero pool strength50% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head6 – 4
Model total54% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct0:0
BOOM Esports 54%beastcoast 46%
The model gave 54% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 17824:14:37.
Game 2prediction correct30:25
BOOM Esports 54%beastcoast 46%
The model gave 54% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 38:45.
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 54%
Series resultBOOM Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2