Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — ЮВА · BO3
result vs prediction
BOOM Esportsloss 0:2series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Fnaticwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BOOM Esports
Ember Spiritsignature
Yopaj · 17 games
Weaversignature
Tims · 16 games
Banesignature
Skem · 15 games
Pangoliersignature
Fbz · 15 games
Templar Assassinsignature
Yopaj · 14 games
Death Prophetsignature
Skem · 13 games
Marssignature
Fbz · 13 games
Miranasignature
Tims · 12 games
Fnatic
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
438 picks · 265 bans
Mars
410 picks · 543 bans
Tiny
361 picks · 419 bans
Death Prophet
338 picks · 685 bans
Ember Spirit
303 picks · 443 bans
Sand King
299 picks · 392 bans
Weaver
272 picks · 320 bans
Pangolier
256 picks · 393 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)78% vs 50%
Hero pool strength69% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total74% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed18:30
BOOM Esports 74%Fnatic 26%
The model gave 74% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by Fnatic in 45:32.
Game 2prediction missed22:26
BOOM Esports 74%Fnatic 26%
The model gave 74% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by Fnatic in 44:03.
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 74%
Series resultFnatic 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2