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BTS Pro Series Season 12: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
BOOM Esportswin 2:0
series probability
92%8%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Neon Esportsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BOOM Esports

Mars
Marssignature
Fbz · 25 games
64%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Fbz · 17 games
53%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
Yopaj · 15 games
67%
Rubick
Rubick
Tims · 15 games
47%
Tiny
Tiny
Yopaj · 15 games
53%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightsignature
JaCkky · 14 games
71%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Yopaj · 14 games
71%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Tims · 14 games
71%

Neon Esports

Snapfire
Snapfire
Se · 11 games
36%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Enryu · 10 games
30%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
ChuaN · 10 games
40%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
PlayHard · 9 games
33%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
ChuaN · 8 games
0%
Chen
Chenoften banned
Se · 7 games
57%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Enryu · 7 games
29%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Se · 7 games
29%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
639 picks · 500 bans
53%
Marci
Marci
469 picks · 687 bans
52%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
417 picks · 582 bans
45%
Puck
Puck
410 picks · 859 bans
55%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
333 picks · 412 bans
54%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
292 picks · 476 bans
52%
Zeus
Zeus
282 picks · 379 bans
44%
Razor
Razor
267 picks · 473 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 20%
Hero pool strength62% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total92% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct34:11
BOOM Esports 78%Neon Esports 22%
The model gave 78% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 29:24.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaJaCkky
47% · 57 games59% · 145 games
BloodseekerFortuneSoul
Bloodseeker
Snapfire
SnapfireYopaj
48% · 150 games45% · 55 games
Vengeful Spiritseimei
Vengeful Spirit
Death Prophet
Death ProphetFbz
53% · 130 games52% · 213 games
EnchantressSe
Enchantress
Sven
SvenSkem
46% · 21 game48% · 165 games
TuskPlayHard
Tusk
Tiny
TinyTims
49% · 220 games
Game 2prediction correct33:6
BOOM Esports 79%Neon Esports 21%
The model gave 79% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 25:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Assassin
Phantom AssassinJaCkky
44% · 84 games54% · 89 games
BloodseekerFortuneSoul
Bloodseeker
Mars
MarsYopaj
48% · 210 games48% · 233 games
Death Prophetseimei
Death Prophet
Primal Beast
Primal BeastFbz
59% · 23 games52% · 90 games
TuskPlayHard
Tusk
Dark Willow
Dark WillowTims
43% · 55 games53% · 51 game
DazzleSe
Dazzle
Undying
UndyingSkem
53% · 91 game
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 92%
Series resultBOOM Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2