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BTS Pro Series Season 6. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
BOOM Esportsloss 1:1
series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Nigma Galaxy SEAloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BOOM Esports

Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Hyde · 9 games
44%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Hyde · 9 games
89%
Mars
Marssignature
Fbz · 8 games
63%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Khezcute · 7 games
57%
Abaddon
Abaddonsignature
Khezcute · 6 games
67%
Lion
Lion
Hyde · 6 games
17%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Mikoto · 6 games
67%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Mikoto · 5 games
40%

Nigma Galaxy SEA

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
AlaCrity · 9 games
56%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
343 · 9 games
44%
Troll Warlord
Troll Warlordsignature
Ghost · 8 games
63%
Juggernaut
Juggernautoften banned
AlaCrity · 6 games
17%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
AlaCrity · 5 games
100%
Riki
Rikioften banned
Ghost · 5 games
60%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
343 · 4 games
25%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokeoften banned
343 · 4 games
25%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
380 picks · 978 bans
49%
Lion
Lion
373 picks · 197 bans
47%
Mars
Mars
363 picks · 589 bans
53%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
345 picks · 362 bans
50%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
292 picks · 638 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
292 picks · 170 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
289 picks · 223 bans
53%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
278 picks · 475 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 55%
Hero pool strength53% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct8:36
BOOM Esports 48%Nigma Galaxy SEA 52%
The model gave 52% on Nigma Galaxy SEA — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy SEA in 34:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Arc Warden
Arc WardenDreamocel
51% · 10 games43% · 3 games
Chaos KnightMeracle
Chaos Knight
Doom
DoomMikoto
56% · 47 games45% · 90 games
PuckAlaCrity
Puck
Venomancer
VenomancerFbz
44% · 20 games45% · 32 games
Faceless VoidinYourdreaM
Faceless Void
Sand King
Sand KingHyde
53% · 37 games52% · 64 games
MiranaJhocam
Mirana
Enchantress
EnchantressKhezcute
52% · 112 games53% · 37 games
Ancient ApparitionPoloson
Ancient Apparition
Game 2prediction missed54:35
BOOM Esports 49%Nigma Galaxy SEA 51%
The model gave 51% on Nigma Galaxy SEA — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 53:13.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
SvenDreamocel
58% · 40 games51% · 69 games
GyrocopterinYourdreaM
Gyrocopter
Tiny
TinyMikoto
55% · 121 game41% · 40 games
Dark SeerMeracle
Dark Seer
Timbersaw
TimbersawFbz
45% · 97 games47% · 190 games
PuckAlaCrity
Puck
Lion
LionHyde
51% · 226 games50% · 83 games
ClockwerkJhocam
Clockwerk
Warlock
WarlockKhezcute
49% · 27 games52% · 129 games
SnapfirePoloson
Snapfire
Model check result
Model favoriteNigma Galaxy SEA · 53%
Accuracy by game1 of 2