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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — ЮВА · BO3
result vs prediction
BOOM Esportsloss 0:2
series probability
86%14%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Nigma Galaxy SEAwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BOOM Esports

Weaver
Weaversignature
Skem · 18 games
89%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Fbz · 17 games
76%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Yopaj · 16 games
81%
Bane
Banesignature
Skem · 14 games
71%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetsignature
Fbz · 13 games
85%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
Yopaj · 13 games
77%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Tims · 13 games
85%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Fbz · 12 games
58%

Nigma Galaxy SEA

Snapfire
Snapfire
Jhocam · 2 games
0%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breakeroften banned
Meracle · 2 games
0%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Poloson · 2 games
0%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Poloson · 1 game
0%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
inYourdreaM · 1 game
0%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Jhocam · 1 game
100%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
AlaCrity · 1 game
0%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
inYourdreaM · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
444 picks · 284 bans
55%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
402 picks · 509 bans
51%
Weaver
Weaver
364 picks · 522 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
350 picks · 501 bans
53%
Kunkka
Kunkka
290 picks · 482 bans
51%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
256 picks · 476 bans
51%
Wraith King
Wraith King
251 picks · 338 bans
56%
Snapfire
Snapfire
247 picks · 101 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)74% vs 36%
Hero pool strength69% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head5 – 0
Model total86% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
BOOM Esports 86%Nigma Galaxy SEA 14%
The model gave 86% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy SEA.
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 86%
Series resultNigma Galaxy SEA 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1