Gamers Without Borders 2022 · BO3
result vs prediction
BOOM Esportswin 2:0series probability
83%17%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Nigma Galaxy SEAloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BOOM Esports
Ember Spiritsignature
Yopaj · 16 games
Pangoliersignature
Fbz · 16 games
Weaversignature
Tims · 16 games
Banesignature
Skem · 15 games
Templar Assassinsignature
Yopaj · 14 games
Death Prophetsignature
Skem · 13 games
Marssignature
Fbz · 13 games
Razorsignature
Tino- · 12 games
Nigma Galaxy SEA
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
448 picks · 274 bans
Mars
432 picks · 579 bans
Tiny
391 picks · 459 bans
Death Prophet
347 picks · 742 bans
Sand King
330 picks · 460 bans
Ember Spirit
321 picks · 475 bans
Storm Spirit
290 picks · 427 bans
Pangolier
288 picks · 431 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)75% vs 37%
Hero pool strength68% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head5 – 1
Model total83% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct22:9
BOOM Esports 83%Nigma Galaxy SEA 17%
The model gave 83% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 31:04.
Game 2prediction correct28:12
BOOM Esports 83%Nigma Galaxy SEA 17%
The model gave 83% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 37:50.
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 83%
Series resultBOOM Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2