GAMERS GALAXY: Invitational Series Dubai 2022 · BO1
result vs predictionseries probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BOOM Esports
Pangoliersignature
Fbz · 24 games
Weaversignature
Skem · 17 games
Banesignature
Skem · 15 games
Tinysignature
Yopaj · 15 games
Marssignature
Fbz · 14 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Tims · 14 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Yopaj · 13 games
Enchantresssignature
Skem · 13 games
OG
Snapfire
Taiga · 15 games
Marsoften banned
ATF · 12 games
Bane
Misha · 11 games
Clinkz
SumaiL · 9 games
Invokeroften banned
bzm · 9 games
Razorsignature
Yuragi · 9 games
Kunkkaoften banned
bzm · 8 games
Nyx Assassinsignature
Taiga · 8 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
541 picks · 363 bans
Queen of Pain
476 picks · 577 bans
Mars
439 picks · 594 bans
Weaver
416 picks · 733 bans
Kunkka
350 picks · 539 bans
Spirit Breaker
342 picks · 574 bans
Snapfire
335 picks · 168 bans
Wraith King
280 picks · 353 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)75% vs 55%
Hero pool strength62% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total71% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct38:8
BOOM Esports 63%OG 37%
The model gave 63% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 22:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar AssassinYopaj
Storm Spiritbzm
RikiJaCkky
ViperATF
MarsFbz
UrsaYuragi
WeaverTims
IoChuvash
DisruptorSkem
Shadow ShamanTaiga
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 71%
Series resultBOOM Esports 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1