Gamers Without Borders 2022 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BOOM Esports
Weaversignature
Tims · 17 games
Banesignature
Skem · 16 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Yopaj · 16 games
Pangoliersignature
Fbz · 15 games
Templar Assassinsignature
Yopaj · 14 games
Death Prophetsignature
Skem · 13 games
Kunkkasignature
Yopaj · 12 games
Miranasignature
Tims · 12 games
Royal Never Give Up
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
460 picks · 283 bans
Mars
443 picks · 605 bans
Tiny
408 picks · 476 bans
Sand King
366 picks · 488 bans
Death Prophet
360 picks · 772 bans
Ember Spirit
340 picks · 516 bans
Storm Spirit
317 picks · 484 bans
Pangolier
314 picks · 458 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)77% vs 52%
Hero pool strength68% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total77% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed12:32
BOOM Esports 77%Royal Never Give Up 23%
The model gave 77% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by Royal Never Give Up in 32:25.
Game 2prediction missed23:26
BOOM Esports 77%Royal Never Give Up 23%
The model gave 77% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by Royal Never Give Up in 40:02.
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 77%
Series resultRoyal Never Give Up 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2