Pinnacle: 25 Year Anniversary Show · BO3
result vs prediction
BOOM Esportsloss 0:2series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Kleewin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BOOM Esports
Ember Spiritoften banned
Yopaj · 6 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Xepher · 6 games
Batrideroften banned
Fbz · 5 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Ws · 5 games
Pangolieroften banned
Yopaj · 5 games
Techies
Xepher · 5 games
Marsoften banned
Ws · 4 games
Morphlingoften banned
Natsumi · 4 games
Team Klee
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
255 picks · 317 bans
Dark Willow
251 picks · 112 bans
Vengeful Spirit
224 picks · 230 bans
Treant Protector
217 picks · 477 bans
Phoenix
207 picks · 289 bans
Pangolier
203 picks · 401 bans
Muerta
188 picks · 254 bans
Nature's Prophet
188 picks · 450 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 60%
Hero pool strength58% Team Klee
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed33:39
BOOM Esports 53%Team Klee 47%
The model gave 53% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by Team Klee in 54:57.
Game 2prediction missed26:47
BOOM Esports 53%Team Klee 47%
The model gave 53% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by Team Klee in 48:06.
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 53%
Series resultTeam Klee 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2