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BTS Pro Series Season 6. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
BOOM Esportswin 2:0
series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team SMGloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BOOM Esports

Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Hyde · 9 games
44%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Hyde · 9 games
89%
Mars
Marssignature
Fbz · 8 games
63%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Khezcute · 7 games
57%
Abaddon
Abaddonsignature
Khezcute · 6 games
67%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Mikoto · 6 games
67%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Mikoto · 5 games
40%
Io
Iooften banned
Dreamocel · 5 games
80%

Team SMG

Brewmaster
Brewmaster
AhFu · 6 games
33%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
vtFαded · 6 games
33%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritoften banned
AhFu · 6 games
33%
Tusk
Tusk
AhFu · 6 games
50%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Ohaiyo · 5 games
60%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Mushi · 5 games
20%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
vtFαded · 5 games
20%
Elder Titan
Elder Titan
Roddgeee · 4 games
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
388 picks · 985 bans
49%
Lion
Lion
374 picks · 194 bans
47%
Mars
Mars
366 picks · 597 bans
54%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
354 picks · 364 bans
49%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
302 picks · 656 bans
52%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
293 picks · 481 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
291 picks · 225 bans
53%
Snapfire
Snapfire
289 picks · 165 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 59%
Hero pool strength57% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% Team SMG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam SMG · 59%
Series resultBOOM Esports 2:0
Series predictionmissed