BOOM Esports vs Teamless — prediction EOB2ЗК · Dota 2

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ESL One Bangkok 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3

result vs prediction

BOOM Esportswin 2:0

series probability

84%16%

probability at match start · final 2:0

TTeamlessloss 0:2

The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.

Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months

Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BOOM Esports

Pangolieroften banned

DarkMago · 21 game

33%

Hoodwink

Matthew · 17 games

47%

Gyrocopteroften banned

Parker · 16 games

56%

Marsoften banned

DarkMago · 16 games

56%

Brewmastersignature

Sacred · 15 games

87%

Clockwerksignature

Yadomi · 15 games

73%

Rubicksignature

Matthew · 14 games

64%

Sand Kingsignature

DarkMago · 14 games

64%

Teamless

No games played over 6 months.

Patch meta · 3 months

The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.

Tusk

436 picks · 570 bans

51%

Clockwerk

374 picks · 382 bans

53%

Luna

323 picks · 381 bans

54%

Pangolier

318 picks · 446 bans

49%

Enchantress

302 picks · 567 bans

51%

Dark Willow

284 picks · 155 bans

50%

Dragon Knight

266 picks · 323 bans

51%

Sand King

256 picks · 762 bans

53%

Prediction components

Form (series winrate)60% vs 67%

Hero pool strength54% BOOM Esports

Head-to-head0 – 0

Model total84% BOOM Esports

Prediction by game vs result

Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.

Game 1prediction correct43:8

BOOM Esports 71%Teamless 29%

The model gave 71% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 25:10.

Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo