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Elite League · BO2
result vs prediction
BOOM Esportsloss 1:1
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Xtreme Gamingloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BOOM Esports

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Panda · 19 games
58%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
Panda · 14 games
50%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Pakazs · 13 games
31%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
ILICH- · 13 games
54%
Troll Warlord
Troll Warlordsignature
Pakazs · 13 games
85%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
ILICH- · 12 games
67%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Panda · 11 games
64%
Magnus
Magnussignature
ILICH- · 10 games
70%

Xtreme Gaming

Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Xxs · 15 games
47%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Dy · 14 games
71%
Mars
Marssignature
Xxs · 13 games
69%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Xxs · 11 games
91%
Mirana
Miranasignature
XinQ · 11 games
82%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Dy · 11 games
64%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidsignature
Ame · 9 games
89%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
XinQ · 9 games
56%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
500 picks · 784 bans
56%
Batrider
Batrider
462 picks · 963 bans
55%
Techies
Techies
456 picks · 351 bans
50%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
451 picks · 196 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
451 picks · 600 bans
54%
Mars
Mars
450 picks · 717 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
438 picks · 205 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
423 picks · 713 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 53%
Hero pool strength58% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total50% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed25:39
BOOM Esports 53%Xtreme Gaming 47%
The model gave 53% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 38:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Windranger
WindrangerPakazs
49% · 107 games53% · 31 game
JuggernautAme
Juggernaut
Kunkka
KunkkaILICH-
55% · 91 game43% · 100 games
RazorXm
Razor
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenPanda
55% · 133 games48% · 24 games
AxeXxs
Axe
41% · 57 games
Dark WillowXinQ
Dark Willow
54% · 119 games
DisruptorDy
Disruptor
Game 2prediction correct27:13
BOOM Esports 54%Xtreme Gaming 46%
The model gave 54% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 32:14.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Troll Warlord
Troll WarlordPakazs
55% · 63 games53% · 11 games
JuggernautAme
Juggernaut
Kunkka
KunkkaILICH-
48% · 140 games51% · 165 games
PangolierXm
Pangolier
Grimstroke
GrimstrokePanda
46% · 131 game47% · 31 game
AxeXxs
Axe
44% · 74 games
HoodwinkXinQ
Hoodwink
61% · 53 games
DisruptorDy
Disruptor
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 50%
Accuracy by game1 of 2