BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
BOOM Esportsloss 0:2series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Yangon Galacticoswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BOOM Esports
Gyrocopteroften banned
Parker · 23 games
Crystal Maiden
Panda · 21 game
Pangolieroften banned
DarkMago · 20 games
Brewmastersignature
Sacred · 19 games
Marsoften banned
DarkMago · 18 games
Tinyoften banned
DarkMago · 17 games
Hoodwinkoften banned
Matthew · 16 games
Morphlingoften banned
Pakazs · 16 games
Yangon Galacticos
Ember Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 5 games
Troll Warlordoften banned
Ksh · 5 games
Morphlingoften banned
Ksh · 4 games
Puckoften banned
Young PH · 4 games
Weaveroften banned
Ksh · 3 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Ksh · 2 games
Faceless Voidoften banned
Ksh · 2 games
Invokeroften banned
Young PH · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
359 picks · 349 bans
Hoodwink
357 picks · 406 bans
Jakiro
347 picks · 258 bans
Pangolier
322 picks · 509 bans
Sven
295 picks · 305 bans
Snapfire
290 picks · 259 bans
Windranger
278 picks · 380 bans
Dragon Knight
272 picks · 461 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 53%
Hero pool strength51% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total74% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed15:23
BOOM Esports 64%Yangon Galacticos 36%
The model gave 64% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by Yangon Galacticos in 37:28.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MorphlingGhost
Anti-MageKsh
Sand KingFbz
PuckYoung PH
SniperMac
SnapfireTims
EnchantressDJ
Game 2prediction missed5:26
BOOM Esports 64%Yangon Galacticos 36%
The model gave 64% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by Yangon Galacticos in 32:52.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
LunaGhost
MorphlingKsh
PuckMac
TinyYoung PH
MarsFbz
Vengeful SpiritTims
EnchantressDJ
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 74%
Series resultYangon Galacticos 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2