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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Западная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
Brameloss 1:2
series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Chicken Fighterswin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Brame

Mars
Marsoften banned
SkyLark · 14 games
57%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
CTOMAHEH1 · 14 games
57%
Lina
Linaoften banned
CTOMAHEH1 · 13 games
54%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
SkyLark · 13 games
69%
Luna
Lunasignature
Nefrit · 11 games
64%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekeroften banned
Nefrit · 10 games
50%
Bane
Banesignature
SsaSpartan · 9 games
67%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
SkyLark · 9 games
78%

Chicken Fighters

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
Mars
349 picks · 517 bans
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
315 picks · 179 bans
48%
Bane
Bane
304 picks · 246 bans
58%
Weaver
Weaver
297 picks · 654 bans
55%
Monkey King
Monkey King
259 picks · 738 bans
59%
Tidehunter
Tidehunter
253 picks · 398 bans
46%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
229 picks · 308 bans
57%
Disruptor
Disruptor
225 picks · 146 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 80%
Hero pool strength58% Brame
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total56% Chicken Fighters
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed26:23
Brame 44%Chicken Fighters 56%
The model gave 56% on Chicken Fighters — the game was taken by Brame in 44:36.
Game 2prediction correct11:24
Brame 44%Chicken Fighters 56%
The model gave 56% on Chicken Fighters — the game was taken by Chicken Fighters in 33:09.
Game 3prediction correct7:23
Brame 44%Chicken Fighters 56%
The model gave 56% on Chicken Fighters — the game was taken by Chicken Fighters in 29:03.
Model check result
Model favoriteChicken Fighters · 56%
Series resultChicken Fighters 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3