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EPIC League Season 3 Division 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Brameloss 0:2
series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 0:2
High Coast Esportswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Brame

Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
CTOMAHEH1 · 14 games
43%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
SsaSpartan · 12 games
33%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
SkyLark · 11 games
64%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
SkyLark · 9 games
67%
Oracle
Oracleoften banned
SsaSpartan · 9 games
44%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
CTOMAHEH1 · 8 games
75%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
W1sh- · 8 games
50%
Ursa
Ursaoften banned
Focus · 8 games
38%

High Coast Esports

Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Xibbe · 7 games
57%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Era · 6 games
33%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Chessie · 5 games
60%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Charlie · 4 games
50%
Juggernaut
Juggernautoften banned
Charlie · 4 games
100%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Xibbe · 4 games
50%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinoften banned
Era · 4 games
25%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
Era · 4 games
75%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
397 picks · 889 bans
51%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
369 picks · 537 bans
54%
Mars
Mars
320 picks · 580 bans
51%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
285 picks · 527 bans
56%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
285 picks · 244 bans
50%
Rubick
Rubick
255 picks · 162 bans
50%
Wraith King
Wraith King
239 picks · 391 bans
56%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Light
238 picks · 522 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 39%
Hero pool strength52% High Coast Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total70% Brame
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed29:14
Brame 70%High Coast Esports 30%
The model gave 70% on Brame — the game was taken by High Coast Esports in 30:31.
Game 2prediction missed12:33
Brame 70%High Coast Esports 30%
The model gave 70% on Brame — the game was taken by High Coast Esports in 33:37.
Model check result
Model favoriteBrame · 70%
Series resultHigh Coast Esports 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2