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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Brameloss 0:2
series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Nemiga Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Brame

Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
SkyLark · 20 games
60%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
CTOMAHEH1 · 19 games
53%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
Nefrit · 16 games
56%
Mars
Marssignature
SkyLark · 15 games
60%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekeroften banned
Nefrit · 14 games
43%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breakersignature
CTOMAHEH1 · 14 games
79%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
CTOMAHEH1 · 13 games
69%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
W1sh- · 13 games
62%

Nemiga Gaming

Mars
Marsoften banned
TheChosenOne · 27 games
41%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
Heaven · 27 games
52%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Heaven · 23 games
48%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Kiritych · 22 games
55%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Heaven · 21 game
52%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
TheChosenOne · 19 games
42%
Abaddon
Abaddon
Lodine · 18 games
56%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinsignature
Lodine · 18 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
520 picks · 369 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
463 picks · 663 bans
50%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
408 picks · 506 bans
52%
Weaver
Weaver
406 picks · 863 bans
56%
Snapfire
Snapfire
376 picks · 194 bans
45%
Kunkka
Kunkka
318 picks · 527 bans
55%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
308 picks · 485 bans
53%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
267 picks · 351 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 50%
Hero pool strength55% Brame
Head-to-head3 – 2
Model total51% Brame
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed43:48
Brame 55%Nemiga Gaming 45%
The model gave 55% on Brame — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 1:13:32.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerNefrit
53% · 64 games48% · 94 games
Troll WarlordKiritych
Troll Warlord
Void Spirit
Void SpiritW1sh-
44% · 292 games48% · 203 games
InvokerAinkrad
Invoker
Hoodwink
HoodwinkLil
50% · 147 games46% · 89 games
Centaur WarrunnerCorrupted
Centaur Warrunner
Spirit Breaker
Spirit BreakerSsaSpartan
56% · 122 games46% · 194 games
Death ProphetVANSKOR
Death Prophet
Beastmaster
BeastmasterSkyLark
61% · 115 games46% · 160 games
Shadow DemonHeaven
Shadow Demon
Game 2prediction missed24:37
Brame 51%Nemiga Gaming 49%
The model gave 51% on Brame — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 37:24.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Razor
RazorNefrit
49% · 123 games55% · 155 games
Wraith KingKiritych
Wraith King
Zeus
ZeusW1sh-
38% · 8 games50% · 23 games
TinkerAinkrad
Tinker
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerSkyLark
45% · 92 games52% · 168 games
Death ProphetCorrupted
Death Prophet
Snapfire
SnapfireLil
44% · 176 games54% · 106 games
Spirit BreakerHeaven
Spirit Breaker
Io
IoSsaSpartan
50% · 138 games53% · 85 games
Shadow DemonVANSKOR
Shadow Demon
Model check result
Model favoriteBrame · 51%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2