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Snow Sweet Snow #2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Bramewin 2:0
series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:0
No Bounty Hunterloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Brame

Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
CTOMAHEH1 · 10 games
30%
Oracle
Oracleoften banned
SsaSpartan · 9 games
44%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
SkyLark · 8 games
75%
Ursa
Ursaoften banned
Focus · 7 games
43%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
CTOMAHEH1 · 6 games
83%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
SkyLark · 6 games
67%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
SsaSpartan · 6 games
50%
Puck
Puckoften banned
W1sh- · 6 games
50%

No Bounty Hunter

Rubick
Rubick
ntakii · 11 games
45%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
dEsire · 10 games
60%
Puck
Puckoften banned
ntakii · 10 games
50%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetsignature
BliNcc · 7 games
71%
Batrider
Batridersignature
ntakii · 6 games
67%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekersignature
BliNcc · 6 games
67%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Flash · 6 games
67%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Flash · 6 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
284 picks · 567 bans
53%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
253 picks · 321 bans
59%
Mars
Mars
224 picks · 404 bans
46%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
211 picks · 167 bans
47%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Light
185 picks · 333 bans
58%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
183 picks · 569 bans
59%
Phoenix
Phoenix
178 picks · 207 bans
58%
Wraith King
Wraith King
178 picks · 233 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 55%
Hero pool strength52% No Bounty Hunter
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total64% Brame
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteBrame · 64%
Series resultBrame 2:0
Series predictioncorrect