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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
Bramewin 2:0
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 2:0
No Sorryloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Brame

Wraith King
Wraith Kingoften banned
Nefrit · 18 games
56%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
SkyLark · 17 games
59%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breakersignature
CTOMAHEH1 · 17 games
76%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
CTOMAHEH1 · 15 games
40%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
SkyLark · 14 games
43%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
W1sh- · 14 games
43%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Nefrit · 14 games
43%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
SsaSpartan · 14 games
71%

No Sorry

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
layme · 20 games
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
y0nd · 19 games
47%
Bane
Bane
BLACKARXANGEL · 18 games
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Worick · 17 games
59%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
BLACKARXANGEL · 17 games
53%
Mars
Marsoften banned
LastHero- · 17 games
47%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
y0nd · 17 games
47%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Worick · 12 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
453 picks · 281 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
452 picks · 618 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
415 picks · 480 bans
51%
Sand King
Sand King
385 picks · 503 bans
55%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
364 picks · 783 bans
55%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
345 picks · 532 bans
49%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
324 picks · 505 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
321 picks · 478 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 56%
Hero pool strength52% Brame
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total60% Brame
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:17
Brame 58%No Sorry 42%
The model gave 58% on Brame — the game was taken by Brame in 29:56.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeFocus
46% · 216 games55% · 132 games
Monkey Kinglayme
Monkey King
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritThuG
51% · 261 game51% · 192 games
TinyWorick
Tiny
Doom
DoomdEsire
46% · 76 games60% · 40 games
SlardarLastHero-
Slardar
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanSsaSpartan
51% · 101 game49% · 113 games
Keeper of the LightBLACKARXANGEL
Keeper of the Light
Enigma
EnigmaSkyLark
44% · 25 games48% · 202 games
Hoodwinky0nd
Hoodwink
Game 2prediction correct53:35
Brame 54%No Sorry 46%
The model gave 54% on Brame — the game was taken by Brame in 44:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Puck
PuckThuG
45% · 296 games52% · 161 game
Tinylayme
Tiny
Chaos Knight
Chaos KnightFocus
48% · 138 games46% · 172 games
Storm SpiritWorick
Storm Spirit
Night Stalker
Night StalkerSkyLark
51% · 121 game57% · 62 games
DoomLastHero-
Doom
Pugna
PugnaSsaSpartan
44% · 109 games53% · 172 games
Grimstrokey0nd
Grimstroke
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath MagedEsire
43% · 140 games61% · 237 games
BaneBLACKARXANGEL
Bane
Model check result
Model favoriteBrame · 60%
Series resultBrame 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2