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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Brameloss 1:2
series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 1:2
V-Gamingwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Brame

Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
SkyLark · 20 games
60%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
CTOMAHEH1 · 18 games
56%
Luna
Lunasignature
Nefrit · 15 games
60%
Mars
Marssignature
SkyLark · 15 games
60%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekeroften banned
Nefrit · 13 games
46%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
CTOMAHEH1 · 13 games
69%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
W1sh- · 13 games
62%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breakersignature
CTOMAHEH1 · 13 games
77%

V-Gaming

Lina
Linasignature
hAze · 35 games
60%
Lion
Lionsignature
ArrOw · 29 games
66%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
ArrOw · 27 games
59%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
hAze · 26 games
58%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
Malady · 25 games
72%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Malady · 24 games
58%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
hAze · 24 games
50%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
ArrOw · 24 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
505 picks · 359 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
452 picks · 657 bans
51%
Weaver
Weaver
390 picks · 840 bans
57%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
389 picks · 487 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
373 picks · 193 bans
45%
Kunkka
Kunkka
300 picks · 512 bans
54%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
293 picks · 459 bans
53%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
263 picks · 355 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 58%
Hero pool strength50% V-Gaming
Head-to-head5 – 1
Model total52% Brame
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed19:35
Brame 50%V-Gaming 50%
The model gave 50% on Brame — the game was taken by V-Gaming in 40:53.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainW1sh-
47% · 221 game57% · 145 games
Wraith KingTA2000
Wraith King
Bloodseeker
BloodseekerNefrit
53% · 115 games49% · 149 games
KunkkahAze
Kunkka
Slardar
SlardarSkyLark
61% · 45 games43% · 89 games
Night Stalkerlaise
Night Stalker
Snapfire
SnapfiredEsire
55% · 205 games47% · 213 games
WeaverArrOw
Weaver
Silencer
SilencerSsaSpartan
45% · 62 games45% · 52 games
Skywrath MageAntares
Skywrath Mage
Game 2prediction correct33:18
Brame 52%V-Gaming 48%
The model gave 52% on Brame — the game was taken by Brame in 26:37.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Wraith King
Wraith KingNefrit
48% · 227 games49% · 157 games
KunkkaTA2000
Kunkka
Batrider
BatriderW1sh-
51% · 119 games49% · 325 games
PuckhAze
Puck
Legion Commander
Legion CommanderSkyLark
51% · 86 games53% · 51 game
Jakirolaise
Jakiro
Spirit Breaker
Spirit BreakerdEsire
51% · 128 games57% · 177 games
Nyx AssassinAntares
Nyx Assassin
Grimstroke
GrimstrokeSsaSpartan
42% · 270 games49% · 120 games
OracleArrOw
Oracle
Game 3prediction missed29:49
Brame 51%V-Gaming 49%
The model gave 51% on Brame — the game was taken by V-Gaming in 38:49.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaNefrit
49% · 190 games52% · 178 games
PuckhAze
Puck
Visage
VisageSkyLark
47% · 17 games52% · 45 games
Phantom LancerTA2000
Phantom Lancer
Batrider
BatriderW1sh-
55% · 140 games46% · 267 games
Marslaise
Mars
Hoodwink
HoodwinkdEsire
46% · 179 games41% · 22 games
Skywrath MageAntares
Skywrath Mage
Ogre Magi
Ogre MagiSsaSpartan
53% · 129 games52% · 143 games
DisruptorArrOw
Disruptor
Model check result
Model favoriteBrame · 52%
Series resultV-Gaming 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3