IESF World Championship 2021. Региональные отборочные · BO3
result vs predictionББрунейloss 0:2
series probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Таиландwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Бруней
No games played over 6 months.
Таиланд
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
374 picks · 172 bans
Hoodwink
346 picks · 124 bans
Lina
266 picks · 470 bans
Nyx Assassin
259 picks · 523 bans
Luna
252 picks · 348 bans
Mars
244 picks · 417 bans
Dragon Knight
236 picks · 328 bans
Pangolier
236 picks · 299 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% Бруней
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total69% Таиланд
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteТаиланд · 69%
Series resultТаиланд 0:2
Series predictioncorrect