The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionBABSJ and friendswin 1:0
series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 1:0
CDUB Esportsloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BSJ and friends
No games played over 6 months.
CDUB Esports
Weaver
Ifrit · 2 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Ifrit · 1 game
Muerta
N1NE · 1 game
Pangolieroften banned
Ñengoflow KELOKE · 1 game
Rubick
N1NE · 1 game
Warlock
Ifrit · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
481 picks · 447 bans
Tiny
472 picks · 550 bans
Ringmaster
444 picks · 227 bans
Terrorblade
348 picks · 681 bans
Storm Spirit
310 picks · 462 bans
Ancient Apparition
298 picks · 694 bans
Tusk
295 picks · 245 bans
Windranger
287 picks · 86 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 43%
Hero pool strength58% BSJ and friends
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% CDUB Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
BSJ and friends 42%CDUB Esports 58%
The model gave 58% on CDUB Esports — the game was taken by BSJ and friends.
Model check result
Model favoriteCDUB Esports · 58%
Series resultBSJ and friends 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1