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BTS Pro Series Season 5. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
bumble bEE'swin 2:0
series probability
78%22%
probability at match start · final 2:0
5ManMidasloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

bumble bEE's

Rubick
Rubick
Sneyking · 6 games
50%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
Moo · 6 games
83%
Juggernaut
Juggernautoften banned
Fear · 5 games
40%
Witch Doctor
Witch Doctor
ppd · 5 games
60%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Moo · 4 games
50%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
ppd · 4 games
25%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Moo · 4 games
50%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
dnm · 4 games
75%

5ManMidas

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
355 picks · 744 bans
51%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
331 picks · 438 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
284 picks · 503 bans
50%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
259 picks · 219 bans
49%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
242 picks · 380 bans
57%
Rubick
Rubick
236 picks · 137 bans
51%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Light
222 picks · 468 bans
57%
Wraith King
Wraith King
218 picks · 314 bans
57%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 24%
Hero pool strength53% bumble bEE's
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total78% bumble bEE's
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoritebumble bEE's · 78%
Series resultbumble bEE's 2:0
Series predictioncorrect