Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 2 — Северная Америка 1-й дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
bumble bEE'swin 2:0series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The Cutloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
bumble bEE's
Rubick
Sneyking · 6 games
Tidehuntersignature
Moo · 6 games
Witch Doctor
ppd · 6 games
Batrideroften banned
Moo · 5 games
Enchantressoften banned
Moo · 5 games
Juggernautoften banned
Fear · 5 games
Leshracoften banned
Ryoya · 5 games
Crystal Maiden
ppd · 4 games
The Cut
Void Spiritoften banned
Lil_Nick · 9 games
Beastmasteroften banned
TingleK1ng · 3 games
Bristlebackoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 3 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Lil_Nick · 3 games
Iooften banned
Scourge McDuck · 3 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
TingleK1ng · 3 games
Pangolieroften banned
TingleK1ng · 3 games
Wraith Kingoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
405 picks · 988 bans
Void Spirit
350 picks · 523 bans
Mars
346 picks · 566 bans
Grimstroke
339 picks · 339 bans
Death Prophet
332 picks · 701 bans
Lion
319 picks · 177 bans
Tusk
303 picks · 225 bans
Earth Spirit
268 picks · 282 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 33%
Hero pool strength50% bumble bEE's
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total58% The Cut
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteThe Cut · 58%
Series resultbumble bEE's 2:0
Series predictionmissed