Star Series #3 · BO3
result vs prediction
By_Owl Clubloss 1:2series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Ramzes Clubwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
By_Owl Club
No games played over 6 months.
Ramzes Club
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
587 picks · 357 bans
Phoenix
487 picks · 578 bans
Rubick
471 picks · 252 bans
Tiny
446 picks · 384 bans
Pangolier
395 picks · 546 bans
Puck
334 picks · 900 bans
Beastmaster
327 picks · 833 bans
Tusk
317 picks · 272 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 57%
Hero pool strength50% By_Owl Club
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Ramzes Club
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
By_Owl Club 46%Ramzes Club 54%
The model gave 54% on Ramzes Club — the game was taken by By_Owl Club.
Game 2prediction correct
By_Owl Club 46%Ramzes Club 54%
The model gave 54% on Ramzes Club — the game was taken by Ramzes Club.
Game 3prediction correct
By_Owl Club 46%Ramzes Club 54%
The model gave 54% on Ramzes Club — the game was taken by Ramzes Club.
Model check result
Model favoriteRamzes Club · 54%
Series resultRamzes Club 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3