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BetBoom Streamers Battle х Динамо 11 · BO3
result vs prediction
By_Owl Teamwin 2:1
series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Cooman Teamloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

By_Owl Team

Doom
Doomoften banned
meLes · 3 games
67%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Нексюша · 3 games
100%
Warlock
Warlock
by_Owl · 3 games
67%
Disruptor
Disruptor
by_Owl · 2 games
100%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
by_Owl · 2 games
100%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Koma` · 2 games
100%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
meLes · 2 games
100%
Tinker
Tinkeroften banned
avice · 2 games
100%

Cooman Team

Bristleback
Bristleback
Lagoona · 2 games
0%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Lagoona · 2 games
50%
Razor
Razoroften banned
Lagoona · 2 games
0%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Lagoona · 1 game
0%
Clinkz
Clinkz
judah · 1 game
0%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Degi · 1 game
100%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Degi · 1 game
0%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Cooman · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Disruptor
Disruptor
407 picks · 367 bans
53%
Snapfire
Snapfire
361 picks · 188 bans
57%
Puck
Puck
348 picks · 883 bans
51%
Pugna
Pugna
307 picks · 354 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
286 picks · 245 bans
47%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
282 picks · 808 bans
48%
Warlock
Warlock
280 picks · 136 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
275 picks · 691 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 33%
Hero pool strength63% By_Owl Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% By_Owl Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed35:38
By_Owl Team 57%Cooman Team 43%
The model gave 57% on By_Owl Team — the game was taken by Cooman Team in 41:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Slark
SlarkKoma`
59% · 38 games63% · 8 games
Outworld DestroyerCooman
Outworld Destroyer
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnermeLes
51% · 64 games46% · 208 games
Terrorbladejudah
Terrorblade
Earthshaker
Earthshakeravice
62% · 64 games43% · 47 games
UnderlordLagoona
Underlord
Oracle
Oracleby_Owl
50% · 19 games59% · 9 games
TechiesRavshan
Techies
Jakiro
JakiroНексюша
46% · 107 games50% · 20 games
OmniknightDegi
Omniknight
Game 2prediction correct45:20
By_Owl Team 56%Cooman Team 44%
The model gave 56% on By_Owl Team — the game was taken by By_Owl Team in 37:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Necrophos
NecrophosKoma`
57% · 3 games50% · 48 games
SniperCooman
Sniper
Leshrac
Leshracavice
47% · 36 games44% · 64 games
Weaverjudah
Weaver
Tusk
TuskmeLes
51% · 76 games43% · 3 games
Legion CommanderLagoona
Legion Commander
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidenby_Owl
51% · 27 games57% · 3 games
Vengeful SpiritRavshan
Vengeful Spirit
Zeus
ZeusНексюша
49% · 8 games58% · 32 games
DazzleDegi
Dazzle
Game 3prediction correct39:28
By_Owl Team 56%Cooman Team 44%
The model gave 56% on By_Owl Team — the game was taken by By_Owl Team in 43:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Troll Warlord
Troll WarlordKoma`
53% · 38 games52% · 61 game
AlchemistCooman
Alchemist
Primal Beast
Primal BeastmeLes
48% · 74 games37% · 19 games
Spectrejudah
Spectre
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritavice
49% · 64 games56% · 129 games
Dark SeerLagoona
Dark Seer
Warlock
Warlockby_Owl
47% · 129 games53% · 98 games
Centaur WarrunnerRavshan
Centaur Warrunner
Ancient Apparition
Ancient ApparitionНексюша
45% · 74 games49% · 72 games
BaneDegi
Bane
Model check result
Model favoriteBy_Owl Team · 63%
Series resultBy_Owl Team 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3