BetBoom Streamers Battle х Динамо 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
By_Owl Teamwin 2:0series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Stray Teamloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
By_Owl Team
Warlock
by_Owl · 6 games
Doomoften banned
meLes · 5 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Koma` · 4 games
Snapfire
Нексюша · 4 games
Crystal Maiden
Нексюша · 3 games
Disruptoroften banned
by_Owl · 3 games
Grimstroke
by_Owl · 3 games
Magnus
meLes · 3 games
Stray Team
Dark Willow
lowkez · 5 games
Weaver
Retsu · 5 games
Crystal Maiden
Vovapain · 4 games
Dark Seeroften banned
DkFogas · 4 games
Legion Commander
DkFogas · 4 games
Muerta
Retsu · 4 games
Pudge
DkFogas · 4 games
Rubick
lowkez · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
766 picks · 359 bans
Disruptor
597 picks · 610 bans
Hoodwink
556 picks · 300 bans
Dragon Knight
457 picks · 526 bans
Tusk
449 picks · 271 bans
Mars
448 picks · 733 bans
Puck
439 picks · 1146 bans
Jakiro
437 picks · 270 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 55%
Hero pool strength55% Stray Team
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total50% Stray Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed37:18
By_Owl Team 49%Stray Team 51%
The model gave 51% on Stray Team — the game was taken by By_Owl Team in 32:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophetavice
Monkey KingRetsu
MagnusKoma`
Centaur WarrunnerDkFogas
Visageblindzone
ZeusStray
Crystal Maidenby_Owl
Nyx AssassinGoodoq
Hoodwinkrostikfacekid
LichVovapain
Game 2prediction missed46:30
By_Owl Team 48%Stray Team 52%
The model gave 52% on Stray Team — the game was taken by By_Owl Team in 45:41.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless VoidKoma`
UrsaRetsu
Primal Beastavice
ViperStray
Marsblindzone
Legion CommanderDkFogas
Jakiroby_Owl
WarlockVovapain
Ringmasterrostikfacekid
SlarkGoodoq
Model check result
Model favoriteStray Team · 50%
Series resultBy_Owl Team 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2