The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
CDUB Esportswin 2:1series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:1
CChillingloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
CDUB Esports
Weaver
Ifrit · 2 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Ifrit · 1 game
Muerta
N1NE · 1 game
Pangolieroften banned
Ñengoflow KELOKE · 1 game
Rubick
N1NE · 1 game
Warlock
Ifrit · 1 game
Chilling
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
480 picks · 446 bans
Tiny
472 picks · 546 bans
Ringmaster
443 picks · 225 bans
Terrorblade
348 picks · 674 bans
Storm Spirit
310 picks · 459 bans
Ancient Apparition
298 picks · 689 bans
Tusk
295 picks · 244 bans
Windranger
286 picks · 86 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 50%
Hero pool strength58% Chilling
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% CDUB Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct23:38
CDUB Esports 63%Chilling 37%
The model gave 63% on CDUB Esports — the game was taken by CDUB Esports in 36:41.
Game 2prediction missed35:22
CDUB Esports 63%Chilling 37%
The model gave 63% on CDUB Esports — the game was taken by Chilling in 39:45.
Game 3prediction correct15:41
CDUB Esports 63%Chilling 37%
The model gave 63% on CDUB Esports — the game was taken by CDUB Esports in 32:32.
Model check result
Model favoriteCDUB Esports · 63%
Series resultCDUB Esports 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3