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Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
chandogswin 2:1
series probability
22%78%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Amaru Gamingloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

chandogs

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
S1RENM · 2 games
0%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
Argius · 2 games
0%
Luna
Luna
Argius · 2 games
0%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
S1RENM · 2 games
0%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
S1RENM · 2 games
0%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
mini-` · 2 games
0%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
mini-` · 1 game
0%
Juggernaut
Juggernaut
Argius · 1 game
0%

Amaru Gaming

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Michael · 10 games
60%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Oscar · 10 games
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Gardick · 9 games
33%
Kez
Kezsignature
Wits · 9 games
78%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoroften banned
Gardick · 8 games
50%
Axe
Axesignature
Oscar · 7 games
71%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
Oscar · 6 games
33%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Oscar · 6 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
587 picks · 358 bans
54%
Phoenix
Phoenix
487 picks · 578 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
474 picks · 253 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
445 picks · 384 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
395 picks · 546 bans
48%
Puck
Puck
335 picks · 899 bans
53%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
327 picks · 831 bans
47%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
317 picks · 466 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 60%
Hero pool strength60% Amaru Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total78% Amaru Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct0:0
chandogs 33%Amaru Gaming 67%
The model gave 67% on Amaru Gaming — the game was taken by Amaru Gaming in 37:21.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Void Spirit
Void SpiritS1RENM
43% · 438 games58% · 29 games
LifestealerK1
Lifestealer
49% · 287 games
PuckPiPi
Puck
63% · 66 games
SlardarOscar
Slardar
55% · 7 games
Witch DoctorPanda
Witch Doctor
58% · 49 games
WindrangerGenek
Windranger
Game 2prediction missed0:0
chandogs 35%Amaru Gaming 65%
The model gave 65% on Amaru Gaming — the game was taken by chandogs in 44:33.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritS1RENM
51% · 437 games54% · 128 games
TinyK1
Tiny
42% · 114 games
Queen of PainPiPi
Queen of Pain
51% · 74 games
UnderlordOscar
Underlord
43% · 101 game
SnapfireGenek
Snapfire
54% · 20 games
LichPanda
Lich
Game 3prediction missed0:0
chandogs 33%Amaru Gaming 67%
The model gave 67% on Amaru Gaming — the game was taken by chandogs in 35:30.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Puck
PuckS1RENM
49% · 404 games55% · 7 games
Lone DruidK1
Lone Druid
45% · 133 games
Ember SpiritPiPi
Ember Spirit
50% · 101 game
SlardarOscar
Slardar
64% · 86 games
MuertaGenek
Muerta
43% · 77 games
SilencerPanda
Silencer
Model check result
Model favoriteAmaru Gaming · 78%
Series resultchandogs 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3