EEF Dota 2 Qualifier 2022 · BO1
result vs prediction
Чехияloss 0:1series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Украинаwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Чехия
No games played over 6 months.
Украина
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
655 picks · 520 bans
Marci
474 picks · 708 bans
Dawnbreaker
437 picks · 609 bans
Puck
430 picks · 891 bans
Winter Wyvern
343 picks · 418 bans
Zeus
292 picks · 390 bans
Death Prophet
283 picks · 472 bans
Razor
276 picks · 494 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 67%
Hero pool strength50% Чехия
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Украина
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Чехия 49%Украина 51%
The model gave 51% on Украина — the game was taken by Украина.
Model check result
Model favoriteУкраина · 51%
Series resultУкраина 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1