Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Западная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
Chicken Fighterswin 2:0series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:0
CHILLAXloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Chicken Fighters
No games played over 6 months.
CHILLAX
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
323 picks · 459 bans
Bane
274 picks · 210 bans
Monkey King
262 picks · 697 bans
Snapfire
262 picks · 149 bans
Tidehunter
262 picks · 394 bans
Weaver
260 picks · 557 bans
Ember Spirit
211 picks · 294 bans
Lion
211 picks · 98 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)75% vs 67%
Hero pool strength50% Chicken Fighters
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total63% Chicken Fighters
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed35:13
Chicken Fighters 63%CHILLAX 37%
The model gave 63% on Chicken Fighters — the game was taken by CHILLAX in 36:00.
Game 2prediction missed26:26
Chicken Fighters 63%CHILLAX 37%
The model gave 63% on Chicken Fighters — the game was taken by CHILLAX in 51:40.
Model check result
Model favoriteChicken Fighters · 63%
Series resultChicken Fighters 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2