Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 8 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
CHILLAX
No games played over 6 months.
cybercats
Faceless Voidoften banned
Shigetsu · 3 games
Jakiro
Fezor · 3 games
Broodmotheroften banned
USHUSHUSH · 2 games
Grimstroke
Fezor · 2 games
Riki
Shigetsu · 2 games
Batrideroften banned
USHUSHUSH · 1 game
Disruptor
Fezor · 1 game
Kunkkaoften banned
USHUSHUSH · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
548 picks · 369 bans
Queen of Pain
480 picks · 577 bans
Mars
446 picks · 604 bans
Weaver
424 picks · 777 bans
Snapfire
365 picks · 175 bans
Spirit Breaker
345 picks · 574 bans
Kunkka
344 picks · 547 bans
Wraith King
286 picks · 347 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 56%
Hero pool strength54% cybercats
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% CHILLAX
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed0:0
CHILLAX 54%cybercats 46%
The model gave 54% on CHILLAX — the game was taken by cybercats in 52:45.
Game 2prediction missed16:33
CHILLAX 54%cybercats 46%
The model gave 54% on CHILLAX — the game was taken by cybercats in 43:01.
Game 3prediction missed17:4
CHILLAX 54%cybercats 46%
The model gave 54% on CHILLAX — the game was taken by cybercats in 22:49.
Model check result
Model favoriteCHILLAX · 54%
Series resultCHILLAX 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 3