Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
CHILLAXwin 2:0series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Empireloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
CHILLAX
No games played over 6 months.
Team Empire
Bane
Kaori · 23 games
Marsoften banned
Ghostik · 20 games
Kunkkaoften banned
lightless · 15 games
Disruptor
Kaori · 13 games
Weaveroften banned
Kaori · 13 games
Grimstroke
[T]SA · 12 games
Queen of Painoften banned
Dodren · 12 games
Iooften banned
[T]SA · 11 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
444 picks · 266 bans
Queen of Pain
373 picks · 498 bans
Mars
367 picks · 507 bans
Weaver
351 picks · 482 bans
Death Prophet
281 picks · 422 bans
Kunkka
281 picks · 493 bans
Grimstroke
262 picks · 181 bans
Ember Spirit
256 picks · 304 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 56%
Hero pool strength55% CHILLAX
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total51% CHILLAX
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed34:23
CHILLAX 51%Team Empire 49%
The model gave 51% on CHILLAX — the game was taken by Team Empire in 44:25.
Game 2prediction missed10:26
CHILLAX 51%Team Empire 49%
The model gave 51% on CHILLAX — the game was taken by Team Empire in 26:30.
Model check result
Model favoriteCHILLAX · 51%
Series resultCHILLAX 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2