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FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Chimera Esportswin 2:0
series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 2:0
HULIGANIloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Chimera Esports

Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
OneJey · 4 games
100%
Enigma
Enigmaoften banned
Daxak · 3 games
100%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Panto · 3 games
100%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Lorenof · 3 games
100%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Daxak · 2 games
100%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Lorenof · 2 games
100%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
TA2000 · 2 games
100%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Lorenof · 2 games
100%

HULIGANI

Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Panto · 20 games
65%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Panto · 18 games
56%
Puck
Pucksignature
Mirage · 17 games
65%
Snapfire
Snapfire
OneJey · 17 games
53%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
v1olent- · 15 games
47%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
v1olent- · 14 games
57%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Panto · 13 games
54%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
OneJey · 13 games
54%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
470 picks · 581 bans
49%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
445 picks · 526 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
387 picks · 575 bans
47%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
370 picks · 180 bans
51%
Batrider
Batrider
369 picks · 408 bans
51%
Muerta
Muerta
364 picks · 273 bans
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
332 picks · 716 bans
53%
Invoker
Invoker
327 picks · 922 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 44%
Hero pool strength61% Chimera Esports
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total73% Chimera Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct25:9
Chimera Esports 66%HULIGANI 34%
The model gave 66% on Chimera Esports — the game was taken by Chimera Esports in 27:52.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetTA2000
51% · 100 games43% · 108 games
Terrorbladev1olent-
Terrorblade
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritLorenof
57% · 215 games50% · 268 games
TinyMirage
Tiny
Enigma
EnigmaDaxak
49% · 132 games57% · 144 games
MagnusAlberkaaa
Magnus
Muerta
MuertaOneJey
49% · 162 games50% · 219 games
Rubickqueezy
Rubick
Tusk
TuskPanto
46% · 205 games47% · 75 games
LichMalady
Lich
Game 2prediction correct35:27
Chimera Esports 64%HULIGANI 36%
The model gave 64% on Chimera Esports — the game was taken by Chimera Esports in 41:01.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Magnus
MagnusTA2000
56% · 178 games51% · 199 games
Templar Assassinv1olent-
Templar Assassin
Pangolier
PangolierLorenof
49% · 465 games43% · 240 games
BeastmasterAlberkaaa
Beastmaster
Brewmaster
BrewmasterDaxak
51% · 187 games45% · 280 games
Ember SpiritMirage
Ember Spirit
Rubick
RubickOneJey
51% · 313 games51% · 136 games
Linaqueezy
Lina
Warlock
WarlockPanto
52% · 21 game52% · 309 games
ClockwerkMalady
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteChimera Esports · 73%
Series resultChimera Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2