DreamLeague Season 27. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionCBChimpanzini Bananiniwin 2:1
series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 2:1
HunterZloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Chimpanzini Bananini
No games played over 6 months.
HunterZ
Earthshakeroften banned
Vitaly · 3 games
Phoenix
Prada · 3 games
Svenoften banned
Lumière · 3 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Lumière · 3 games
Hoodwink
Mjz · 2 games
Shadow Demon
Mjz · 2 games
Slardar
Vitaly · 2 games
Snapfire
Mjz · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
316 picks · 784 bans
Disruptor
315 picks · 290 bans
Shadow Shaman
272 picks · 171 bans
Dawnbreaker
269 picks · 740 bans
Pugna
269 picks · 300 bans
Tusk
265 picks · 248 bans
Marci
261 picks · 762 bans
Snapfire
261 picks · 127 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 67%
Hero pool strength56% HunterZ
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total51% Chimpanzini Bananini
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct46:22
Chimpanzini Bananini 51%HunterZ 49%
The model gave 51% on Chimpanzini Bananini — the game was taken by Chimpanzini Bananini in 1:06:27.
Game 2prediction missed3:24
Chimpanzini Bananini 51%HunterZ 49%
The model gave 51% on Chimpanzini Bananini — the game was taken by HunterZ in 31:46.
Game 3prediction correct31:25
Chimpanzini Bananini 51%HunterZ 49%
The model gave 51% on Chimpanzini Bananini — the game was taken by Chimpanzini Bananini in 1:02:34.
Model check result
Model favoriteChimpanzini Bananini · 51%
Series resultChimpanzini Bananini 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3