Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 1 — Закрытые квалификации · BO2
result vs prediction
Cignal Ultraloss 1:1series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Nigma Galaxy SEAloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Cignal Ultra
Phantom Assassin
Abat · 3 games
Sand Kingoften banned
Jamesy · 3 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Jamesy · 2 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Jamesy · 2 games
Marsoften banned
Jamesy · 2 games
Ursaoften banned
Abat · 2 games
Alchemist
Abat · 1 game
Anti-Mageoften banned
Abat · 1 game
Nigma Galaxy SEA
Ember Spiritoften banned
AlaCrity · 3 games
Enchantressoften banned
343 · 3 games
Ogre Magi
343 · 3 games
Rikioften banned
Ghost · 3 games
Troll Warlordoften banned
Ghost · 3 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
AlaCrity · 2 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
Ghost · 2 games
Abaddon
343 · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
48 picks · 83 bans
Puck
39 picks · 94 bans
Earth Spirit
35 picks · 27 bans
Void Spirit
35 picks · 51 bans
Monkey King
28 picks · 54 bans
Phoenix
27 picks · 37 bans
Undying
25 picks · 50 bans
Ember Spirit
24 picks · 35 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 50%
Hero pool strength56% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteNigma Galaxy SEA · 59%