Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
CIS Rejectsloss 0:2series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Gambit Esportswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
CIS Rejects
No games played over 6 months.
Gambit Esports
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
518 picks · 367 bans
Mars
461 picks · 660 bans
Queen of Pain
407 picks · 512 bans
Weaver
407 picks · 860 bans
Snapfire
371 picks · 192 bans
Kunkka
319 picks · 528 bans
Spirit Breaker
315 picks · 487 bans
Disruptor
266 picks · 182 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)82% vs 53%
Hero pool strength50% CIS Rejects
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total76% CIS Rejects
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed21:20
CIS Rejects 76%Gambit Esports 24%
The model gave 76% on CIS Rejects — the game was taken by Gambit Esports in 47:41.
Game 2prediction missed16:29
CIS Rejects 76%Gambit Esports 24%
The model gave 76% on CIS Rejects — the game was taken by Gambit Esports in 35:13.
Model check result
Model favoriteCIS Rejects · 76%
Series resultGambit Esports 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2