Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
CIS Rejectswin 2:1series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Hydraloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
CIS Rejects
No games played over 6 months.
Hydra
Ember Spiritoften banned
Askold · 22 games
Banesignature
Zayac · 21 game
Beastmastersignature
Blizzy · 19 games
Weaveroften banned
Muka · 18 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Blizzy · 17 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Muka · 16 games
Chensignature
Zayac · 15 games
Dark Willowsignature
Muka · 15 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
507 picks · 361 bans
Mars
456 picks · 659 bans
Queen of Pain
392 picks · 492 bans
Weaver
392 picks · 846 bans
Snapfire
376 picks · 193 bans
Kunkka
303 picks · 515 bans
Spirit Breaker
297 picks · 463 bans
Ember Spirit
263 picks · 357 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)79% vs 64%
Hero pool strength60% Hydra
Head-to-head3 – 0
Model total68% CIS Rejects
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed16:29
CIS Rejects 68%Hydra 32%
The model gave 68% on CIS Rejects — the game was taken by Hydra in 30:12.
Game 2prediction missed22:34
CIS Rejects 68%Hydra 32%
The model gave 68% on CIS Rejects — the game was taken by Hydra in 35:53.
Game 3prediction missed9:26
CIS Rejects 68%Hydra 32%
The model gave 68% on CIS Rejects — the game was taken by Hydra in 21:54.
Model check result
Model favoriteCIS Rejects · 68%
Series resultCIS Rejects 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 3