Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
CIS Rejectswin 2:0series probability
87%13%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Into The Breachloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
CIS Rejects
No games played over 6 months.
Into The Breach
Marsoften banned
Xibbe · 8 games
Snapfiresignature
Era · 8 games
Linaoften banned
Bor@nija · 7 games
Tidehuntersignature
Xibbe · 7 games
Medusasignature
Charlie · 6 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Bor@nija · 6 games
Void Spirit
Bor@nija · 6 games
Doomoften banned
Xibbe · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
514 picks · 366 bans
Mars
462 picks · 661 bans
Weaver
402 picks · 852 bans
Queen of Pain
399 picks · 501 bans
Snapfire
375 picks · 193 bans
Kunkka
311 picks · 522 bans
Spirit Breaker
302 picks · 477 bans
Ember Spirit
266 picks · 352 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)81% vs 38%
Hero pool strength53% Into The Breach
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total87% CIS Rejects
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
CIS Rejects 87%Into The Breach 13%
The model gave 87% on CIS Rejects — the game was taken by CIS Rejects.
Model check result
Model favoriteCIS Rejects · 87%
Series resultCIS Rejects 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1