FISSURE Universe: Episode 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Cloud9win 2:0series probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 2:0
G2 Invictus Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Cloud9
Centaur Warrunnersignature
DM · 38 games
Banesignature
Fishman · 25 games
Brewmastersignature
DM · 20 games
Grimstrokesignature
Kataomi · 17 games
Disruptorsignature
Fishman · 16 games
Leshracoften banned
No[o]ne · 16 games
Svensignature
Fishman · 16 games
Weaversignature
Fishman · 16 games
G2 Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
437 picks · 370 bans
Hoodwink
401 picks · 449 bans
Tiny
388 picks · 876 bans
Weaver
385 picks · 828 bans
Phoenix
370 picks · 768 bans
Pangolier
358 picks · 508 bans
Clockwerk
338 picks · 505 bans
Jakiro
329 picks · 248 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 52%
Hero pool strength61% Cloud9
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total69% G2 Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed20:11
Cloud9 31%G2 Invictus Gaming 69%
The model gave 69% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Cloud9 in 38:17.
Game 2prediction missed39:32
Cloud9 31%G2 Invictus Gaming 69%
The model gave 69% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Cloud9 in 52:59.
Model check result
Model favoriteG2 Invictus Gaming · 69%
Series resultCloud9 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2