Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 2 — Южная Америка 2-й дивизион · BO3
result vs predictionCCrewmatesloss 1:2
series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Gorillaz-Pridewin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Crewmates
Abaddon
DFlash · 3 games
Iooften banned
FCR · 3 games
Leshracoften banned
H1j4ck · 3 games
Undyingoften banned
DFlash · 3 games
Arc Wardenoften banned
FCR · 2 games
Batrideroften banned
4nalog · 2 games
Death Prophetoften banned
4nalog · 2 games
Grimstroke
DFlash · 2 games
Gorillaz-Pride
Grimstroke
Cara · 5 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Benjaz · 5 games
Earth Spirit
d1smar · 4 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Cara · 4 games
Puckoften banned
TaO · 4 games
Rubick
d1smar · 4 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Benjaz · 3 games
Tusk
d1smar · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
437 picks · 967 bans
Void Spirit
417 picks · 586 bans
Death Prophet
363 picks · 679 bans
Mars
341 picks · 594 bans
Earth Spirit
311 picks · 284 bans
Tusk
278 picks · 180 bans
Phoenix
266 picks · 385 bans
Grimstroke
265 picks · 229 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 55%
Hero pool strength52% Gorillaz-Pride
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total54% Gorillaz-Pride
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteGorillaz-Pride · 54%
Series resultGorillaz-Pride 1:2
Series predictioncorrect